{"id":638675,"date":"2018-10-24T14:58:18","date_gmt":"2018-10-24T20:58:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/?p=638675"},"modified":"2018-10-25T08:15:20","modified_gmt":"2018-10-25T14:15:20","slug":"herrell-leads-by-one-point-in-cd2-clash-nyt-poll-says","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2018\/10\/herrell-leads-by-one-point-in-cd2-clash-nyt-poll-says\/","title":{"rendered":"Herrell leads by one point in CD2 clash, NYT poll says"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_589912\"  class=\"wp-caption module image alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 771px;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-589912\" src=\"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Herrell-and-Torres-Small-771x357.jpg\" alt=\"Yvette Herrell and Xochitl Torres Small\" width=\"771\" height=\"357\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Herrell-and-Torres-Small.jpg 771w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Herrell-and-Torres-Small-336x156.jpg 336w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Herrell-and-Torres-Small-768x356.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 771px) 100vw, 771px\" \/><p class=\"wp-media-credit\">Courtesy photos<\/p><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Yvette Herrell, left, and Xochitl Torres Small<\/p><\/div>\n<p>The latest\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2018\/upshot\/elections-poll-nm02-3.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i>New York Times<\/i>\/Siena College poll<\/a>\u00a0shows just how close the 2nd Congressional District race remains.<\/p>\n<p>The poll found that Republican state Rep. Yvette Herrell leads her Democratic opponent, water attorney Xochitl Torres Small, 45 percent to 44 percent, with still 11 percent undecided.<\/p>\n<p>Nate Cohn of the\u00a0<i>New York Times<\/i>, who is part of the congressional polling project for the newspaper, says\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Nate_Cohn\/status\/1054939118965346304\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">it was their closest result yet<\/a>.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"module align-left half type-aside\">\n<h3>About this article<\/h3>\n<p>This article comes from\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/nmpoliticalreport.com\/2018\/10\/24\/poll-herrell-leads-by-one-point-in-cd2-clash\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">New Mexico Political Report<\/a>,\u00a0a nonprofit news organization\u00a0focused on promoting a greater public understanding of politics and policy in New Mexico.<\/p>\n<\/aside>\n<p>The poll notes that the margin of error of +\/- 4.6 percent means each candidate\u2019s true numbers could be that much in either direction.<\/p>\n<p>Spending in the district, which is in the millions by outside groups, shows they also believe the race is one of dozens in the nation that will determine who controls the U.S. House of Representatives.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/nmpoliticalreport.com\/2018\/09\/18\/pollsters-look-at-nm-congressional-races-as-election-approaches\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">A poll by the same pollsters<\/a>\u00a0in September showed Torres Small with a 46 percent to 45 percent lead over Herrell, again well within the pollster\u2019s margin of error.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, a poll by the\u00a0<i>Albuquerque Journal<\/i>\u00a0around the same time showed Herrell with a 7 percentage point lead, 48 percent to 41 percent.<\/p>\n<p>The district is the most conservative of the three congressional districts in the state, and is an open race because its current representative, Republican Steve Pearce, opted to run for governor instead of seeking re-election. A Democrat has only held the district for one term since New Mexico gained a third district in 1983.<\/p>\n<p>Among those who already voted, who account for 20 percent of those surveyed, some 61 percent said they backed Torres Small while 33 percent backed Herrell, with 6 percent undecided. This is a very small sample, however, so the margin of error is much larger than the poll as a whole.<\/p>\n<p>The poll of 522 likely voters took place between Oct. 19 and Oct. 23 and has a margin of error of +\/- 4.6 percentage points. The poll surveyed 359 people by cell phone and 163 by landline.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The latest\u00a0New York Times\/Siena College poll\u00a0shows just how close the 2nd Congressional District race remains.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":589912,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[2238,240,116,3658,3664],"class_list":["post-638675","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-2018-election","tag-polling","tag-washington","tag-xochitl-torres-small","tag-yvette-herrell"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/638675","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=638675"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/638675\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":638679,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/638675\/revisions\/638679"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/589912"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=638675"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=638675"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=638675"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}