{"id":634300,"date":"2018-10-12T12:00:30","date_gmt":"2018-10-12T18:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/?p=634300"},"modified":"2018-10-15T08:24:48","modified_gmt":"2018-10-15T14:24:48","slug":"climate-report-makes-clear-the-future-is-at-stake-and-we-must-act","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2018\/10\/climate-report-makes-clear-the-future-is-at-stake-and-we-must-act\/","title":{"rendered":"Climate report makes clear the future is at stake, and we must act"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_634304\"  class=\"wp-caption module image alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 771px;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-634304\" src=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/36800229_10101927895828591_704573407630458880_n-771x591.jpg\" alt=\"Black Range\" width=\"771\" height=\"591\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/36800229_10101927895828591_704573407630458880_n-771x591.jpg 771w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/36800229_10101927895828591_704573407630458880_n-336x258.jpg 336w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/36800229_10101927895828591_704573407630458880_n-768x589.jpg 768w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/36800229_10101927895828591_704573407630458880_n.jpg 960w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 771px) 100vw, 771px\" \/><p class=\"wp-media-credit\">Heath Haussamen \/ NMPolitics.net<\/p><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Five years after the Silver Fire in the Black Range in southern New Mexico, Gambel Oak is replacing pines in the burn scar. The Southwest has been losing its coniferous forests for decades.<\/p><\/div>\n<p><strong>COMMENTARY:\u00a0<\/strong>I remember watching a dramatic video about climate change in elementary school that predicted the Southwest might someday become an uninhabitable wasteland.<\/p>\n<p>I began pondering the real possibility that New Mexico would lose its coniferous forests in 2014. I was working on <a href=\"http:\/\/nmindepth.com\/2014\/08\/30\/new-mexicos-forests-are-warming-and-transforming\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">an article<\/a> about what the future might hold, with a focus on the Silver Fire that torched 139,000 acres of pines in the Black Range near Kingston a year earlier.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_383420\"  class=\"wp-caption module image alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 336px;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-383420\" src=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/Haussamen-Heath-336x252.jpg\" alt=\"Heath Haussamen\" width=\"336\" height=\"252\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/Haussamen-Heath-336x252.jpg 336w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/Haussamen-Heath-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/Haussamen-Heath-771x578.jpg 771w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/Haussamen-Heath-800x600.jpg 800w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/Haussamen-Heath.jpg 960w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 336px) 100vw, 336px\" \/><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Heath Haussamen<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Craig Allen, a U.S. Geological Survey research ecologist, pointed me to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pnas.org\/content\/107\/50\/21289.full.pdf+html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a study<\/a> he helped author that found a transformation was already happening: The Southwest lost up to 18 percent of its coniferous forests to wildfire and bark beetle outbreaks between 1984 and 2006.<\/p>\n<p>Allen told me mountains across the Southwest might someday look like southern New Mexico\u2019s Organ Mountains, a range characterized by jagged peaks, thorny bushes and cacti, not coniferous forests. Human-caused overgrowth in our forests, drought and the planet\u2019s warming climate are to blame.<\/p>\n<p>The Black Range, where Gambel Oak is replacing pines in the burn scar, \u201ccould look like the Organs by the middle of the century,\u201d Allen said.<\/p>\n<p>I was alarmed then. And four years later, widespread belief in the scientific community has only become more urgent.<\/p>\n<p>The United Nations\u2019 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change issued an ominous warning to humanity on Monday. As reported <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2018\/10\/07\/climate\/ipcc-climate-report-2040.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">by The New York Times<\/a>, the report \u201cpaints a far more dire picture of the immediate consequences of climate change than previously thought and says that avoiding the damage requires transforming the world economy at a speed and scale that has \u2018no documented precedent.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Ninety-one scientists analyzed more than 6,000 scientific studies in writing <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/sr15\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the new report<\/a>. It describes a frightening world just 22 years into the future if we don\u2019t act now: worsening food shortages and poverty, more extreme drought and wildfires, the loss of the planet\u2019s coral reefs.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>We have to curb greenhouse gas emissions. We must replace coal with renewable energy sources. We need to transform our economic systems.<\/p>\n<p>The Trump administration is doing the opposite. It \u201cassumes the planet\u2019s fate is already sealed,\u201d the Washington Post <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/national\/health-science\/trump-administration-sees-a-7-degree-rise-in-global-temperatures-by-2100\/2018\/09\/27\/b9c6fada-bb45-11e8-bdc0-90f81cc58c5d_story.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">recently reported<\/a>. The administration expects the planet to warm seven degrees Fahrenheit by the end of the century \u2013 and is proposing freezing fuel efficiency standards intended to help reduce emissions.<\/p>\n<p>Because, what\u2019s the point? So we might as well make some more money now.<\/p>\n<p>After refusing to take serious action to address climate change <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2018\/08\/01\/magazine\/climate-change-losing-earth.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">for decades<\/a>, some days it does feel like our fate may be sealed. In New Mexico, our reservoirs <a href=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2018\/09\/nms-reservoirs-weathered-this-year-but-what-will-happen-next-year\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">barely got us through the year<\/a>. The Animas River in the Four Corners region hit <a href=\"https:\/\/durangoherald.com\/articles\/243752\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">an all-time low<\/a> this fall. We\u2019re pumping groundwater at an unsustainable rate. A battle before the U.S. Supreme Court over southern New Mexico\u2019s groundwater and the Rio Grande <a href=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2018\/09\/as-nms-water-situation-worsens-legal-battle-over-the-rio-grande-intensifies\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">looms<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>As I stood on top of a hill in the Black Range in 2014 and took <a href=\"http:\/\/nmindepth.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/Panorama-WEB-1170x253.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a panoramic photo<\/a> of the devastation around me, I thought about the video I watched in elementary school. I pondered the world I\u2019m handing to my daughter.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_634303\"  class=\"wp-caption module image alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 771px;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-634303\" src=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Panorama-WEB-1170x253-771x167.jpg\" alt=\"Black Range\" width=\"771\" height=\"167\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Panorama-WEB-1170x253-771x167.jpg 771w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Panorama-WEB-1170x253-336x73.jpg 336w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Panorama-WEB-1170x253-768x166.jpg 768w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Panorama-WEB-1170x253.jpg 1170w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 771px) 100vw, 771px\" \/><p class=\"wp-media-credit\">Heath Haussamen<\/p><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">The panoramic photo I took in 2014.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>On that hill, some tiny plants were the only green in the otherwise post-apocalyptic scene: A dusty and dead landscape covered with black and grey trunks pointing at the sky.<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve already altered the planet. But these scientists say there\u2019s still a window, even if one that\u2019s rapidly closing, to act.<\/p>\n<p>Those of us who are living in this moment have to decide how radically the planet transforms. The future is at stake.<\/p>\n<p><em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nmpolitics.net\/haussamen\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Heath Haussamen<\/a>\u00a0is NMPolitics.net\u2019s editor and publisher.\u00a0Agree with his opinion? Disagree? NMPolitics.net welcomes your views. Learn about submitting your own commentary\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nmpolitics.net\/index\/commentary-submissions\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We\u2019ve already altered the planet. But scientists say there\u2019s still a window, even if one that\u2019s rapidly closing, to act.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":634304,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1192,10],"tags":[284,147,277],"class_list":["post-634300","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commentary","category-haussamen-columns","tag-climate-change","tag-environment","tag-water"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/634300","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=634300"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/634300\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":635426,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/634300\/revisions\/635426"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/634304"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=634300"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=634300"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=634300"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}