{"id":35941,"date":"2012-01-31T12:17:16","date_gmt":"2012-01-31T19:17:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nmpolitics.net\/index\/?p=35941"},"modified":"2012-02-01T07:03:19","modified_gmt":"2012-02-01T14:03:19","slug":"poll-heinrich-and-wilson-tied-voters-like-guv","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2012\/01\/poll-heinrich-and-wilson-tied-voters-like-guv\/","title":{"rendered":"Poll: Heinrich and Wilson tied; voters like guv"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_35944\"  class=\"wp-caption module image alignright\" style=\"max-width: 270px;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-35944\" title=\"Heinrich and Wilson\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/Heinrich-and-Wilson.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"270\" height=\"239\" \/><\/a><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Heather Wilson, left, and Martin Heinrich<\/p><\/div>\n<h4>Heinrich led Wilson 45 percent to 44 percent but well within the margin of error; 61 percent of NM voters said they approve of the job Martinez is doing<\/h4>\n<p>A new, bipartisan poll finds <a href=\"http:\/\/www.martinheinrich.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Martin Heinrich<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.heatherwilson.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Heather Wilson<\/a> essentially tied in a potential U.S. Senate match-up and a high approval rating for Gov. <a href=\"http:\/\/governor.state.nm.us\/\" target=\"_blank\">Susana Martinez<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>A little more than 45 percent of those surveyed said they would vote for Heinrich, a Democrat, if the election were today, while 44 percent picked Wilson, a Republican.<\/p>\n<p>Some 34 percent said they would \u201cdefinitely\u201d pick Wilson and 10 percent said they would \u201cprobably\u201d pick her, while 34 percent said they would definitely pick Heinrich and 12 percent said they probably would.<\/p>\n<p>Months before either candidate even faces off with others in primary elections, the survey found that only 10 percent of voters are undecided.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_21595\"  class=\"wp-caption module image alignright\" style=\"max-width: 120px;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-21595\" title=\"Martinez, Susana1\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/Martinez-Susana11.jpg\" alt=\"Susana Martinez\" width=\"120\" height=\"160\" \/><\/a><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Susana Martinez<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Wilson and Heinrich are the frontrunners in their respective primaries. Heinrich faces <a href=\"http:\/\/hectorbalderas.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Hector Balderas<\/a>\u00a0and little-known Andres Valdez on June 5, while Wilson faces <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sanchezforussenate.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">John Sanchez<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/gregsowards.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Greg Sowards<\/a>. The survey didn\u2019t ask about the other candidates.<\/p>\n<p>The survey also found that 61 percent of those surveyed approve of the job Martinez, a Republican, is doing as governor (34 percent \u201cstrongly\u201d approve and 27 percent \u201csomewhat\u201d approve), while 27 percent disapprove (14 percent strongly and 13 percent somewhat).<\/p>\n<p>The survey of 400 registered voters was conducted Jan. 2-5 and 7 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points. It was conducted jointly by two companies \u2013 The Republican firm Public Opinion Strategies, and the Democratic firm Fairbank, Maslin, Maulin, Metz &amp; Associates, for Colorado College\u2019s 2012 <a href=\"http:\/\/www2.coloradocollege.edu\/stateoftherockies\/\" target=\"_blank\">State of the Rockies Project<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h3>NM voters support conservation<\/h3>\n<p>The survey was primarily about conservation issues and spanned several states. Here\u2019s what it found in New Mexico, from a news release:<!--more--><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cThe results from the 2012 Colorado College State of the Rockies Conservation in the West poll find that New Mexico voters across the political spectrum \u2013 from Tea Party supporters to those who identify with the Occupy Wall Street movement and voters in-between \u2013 support upholding protections for clean air, clean water, natural areas and wildlife.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cVoters view New Mexico\u2019s parks and public lands as essential to their state\u2019s economy, and quality of life.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe survey, completed by Lori Weigel of Public Opinion Strategies (a Republican firm) and Dave Metz of Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz &amp; Associates (a Democratic firm), found that 80 percent of voters view having a strong economy and protections for New Mexico\u2019s land and water as compatible with each other.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>There\u2019s lots more. You can read the poll memo <a href=\"http:\/\/www2.coloradocollege.edu\/stateoftherockies\/Conservation_West_Survey\/CWSOverallData.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h3>Update, 1:10 p.m.<\/h3>\n<p>As Politico <a href=\"http:\/\/www.politico.com\/blogs\/david-catanese\/2012\/01\/closing-in-new-mexico-112968.html\" target=\"_blank\">points out<\/a>, this is a poll of registered voters, not \u201clikely voters,\u201d and some question its usefulness. From Politico:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cColorado College also polled in Montana \u2013 showing Rep. Denny Rehberg with a much smaller lead than a poll taken for the conservative group American Crossroads.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBut some Republicans think it\u2019s flawed because it used \u2018registered voters\u2019 over \u2018likely voters\u2019 as its sampling pool.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>In other words, registered voters aren\u2019t necessarily likely to vote, so this poll may not be indicative of what would actually happen if the election were today.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UPDATED: A new, bipartisan poll finds Martin Heinrich and Heather Wilson essentially tied in a potential U.S. Senate match-up and a high approval rating for Gov. Susana Martinez.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[156,147,107,208,227,116],"class_list":["post-35941","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-2012-election","tag-environment","tag-roundhouse","tag-susana-martinez","tag-u-s-senate-race","tag-washington"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35941","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35941"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35941\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35941"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35941"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35941"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}