{"id":35899,"date":"2012-01-30T10:31:59","date_gmt":"2012-01-30T17:31:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nmpolitics.net\/index\/?p=35899"},"modified":"2012-01-31T08:15:51","modified_gmt":"2012-01-31T15:15:51","slug":"heinrich%e2%80%99s-poll-gives-him-a-big-lead-over-balderas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2012\/01\/heinrich%e2%80%99s-poll-gives-him-a-big-lead-over-balderas\/","title":{"rendered":"Heinrich\u2019s poll gives him a big lead over Balderas"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_28775\"  class=\"wp-caption module image alignright\" style=\"max-width: 270px;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-28775\" title=\"Heinrich, Balderas\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/Heinrich-Balderas.jpg\" alt=\"Hector Balderas and Martin Heinrich\" width=\"270\" height=\"250\" \/><\/a><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Democratic U.S. Senate candidates Hector Balderas, left, and Martin Heinrich<\/p><\/div>\n<h4>The internal poll has Heinrich leading by 30 points; among voters who can identify both candidates, he leads Balderas by 23.<\/h4>\n<p>Six weeks after an independent poll showed <a href=\"http:\/\/www.hectorbalderas.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Hector Balderas<\/a> gaining ground on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.martinheinrich.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Martin Heinrich<\/a> in the Democratic U.S. Senate primary, a poll released today by Heinrich\u2019s campaign shows him having a big lead over Balderas.<\/p>\n<p>The poll, conducted for the Heinrich campaign by the firm <a href=\"http:\/\/www.gbastrategies.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Gerstein, Bocain, Agne Strategies<\/a>, has Heinrich leading Balderas by 30 points \u2013 52 percent to 22 percent \u2013 with 26 percent undecided. Among voters who can identify both candidates, Heinrich led by 23 points, 51 percent to 28 percent, with 21 percent undecided.<\/p>\n<p>You can read the poll memo <a href=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/Documents\/HeinrichJanuary2012Poll.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In mid-December, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nmpolitics.net\/index\/2011\/12\/poll-shows-heinrich-leading-wilson-sparks-debate\/\" target=\"_blank\">a poll<\/a> from the left-leaning Public Policy Polling had Heinrich leading Balderas by 17 points, 47 percent to 30 percent. That was an improvement for Balderas from\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nmpolitics.net\/index\/2011\/07\/wilson-heinrich-lead-in-senate-primaries\/\" target=\"_blank\">the last time<\/a>\u00a0PPP polled and Heinrich led 47-24. It was noteworthy at the time that Heinrich didn\u2019t move any closer to 50 percent while Balderas gained.<\/p>\n<p>But that poll sampled 309 people, compared with the new poll\u2019s sample of 600 likely Democratic primary voters in New Mexico, which was conducted between Jan. 8 and 11. The new poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Not surprisingly, the new Heinrich poll has lots of good news for Heinrich and little for Balderas. Here\u2019s more from the poll memo:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u201cDemocratic primary voters view Heinrich incredibly favorable. 58 percent of voters give Heinrich a favorable rating, while just 12 percent view him unfavorably.\u00a0 Moreover, 66 percent of voters approve of the job Heinrich is doing as Congressman. Heinrich\u2019s standing is equally good among Hispanics and Anglos. Balderas has good standing (37 \u2013 12 percent favorable-unfavorable, 46 percent job approval), but nowhere near as good as Heinrich\u2019s.<\/li>\n<li>\u201cHeinrich overpowers Balderas in a vote matchup. With a 52\u201322 percent lead, Heinrich dominates Balderas among every segment of the electorate. He leads 57\u201315 percent among Anglos and 46\u201330 percent among Hispanics. Heinrich also holds a strong lead in each of the state\u2019s three congressional districts.<\/li>\n<li>\u201cHeinrich\u2019s lead is very robust. Heinrich\u2019s lead is not driven by name identification; he leads 51 \u2013 28 percent among voters who can identify both candidates.\u201d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>Heinrich outraises Wilson<\/h3>\n<p>The poll follows Heinrich\u2019s announcement last week that he raised more than $483,000 in the fourth quarter of 2011 and ended it with almost $1.4 million in the bank. Balderas hasn\u2019t yet announced his fourth-quarter fundraising, but he ended the third quarter of 2011 with $465,000 in the bank.<\/p>\n<p>Heinrich even bested the fundraising of the frontrunner for the Republican U.S. Senate nomination, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.heatherwilson.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Heather Wilson<\/a>, who announced last week that she raised $375,000 in the fourth quarter and ended it with $1.1 million in the bank.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Weeks after an independent poll showed Hector Balderas gaining on Martin Heinrich in the Democratic U.S. Senate primary, a poll released by Heinrich\u2019s campaign shows him having a big lead over Balderas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[156,227,116],"class_list":["post-35899","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-2012-election","tag-u-s-senate-race","tag-washington"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35899","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35899"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35899\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35899"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35899"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35899"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}