{"id":3198,"date":"2008-05-08T11:12:00","date_gmt":"2008-05-08T17:12:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nmpolitics.net\/index\/2008\/05\/realtors-change-dynamic-of-gop-cd2-primary\/"},"modified":"2008-05-08T11:12:00","modified_gmt":"2008-05-08T17:12:00","slug":"realtors-change-dynamic-of-gop-cd2-primary","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2008\/05\/realtors-change-dynamic-of-gop-cd2-primary\/","title":{"rendered":"Realtors change dynamic of GOP CD2 primary"},"content":{"rendered":"

The National Association of Realtors Political Action Committee<\/a> has now spent almost $600,000 to promote Republican 2nd Congressional District candidate Monty Newman<\/a>.<\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

According to a notice<\/a> it filed today with the Federal Election Commission, the group is spending almost $326,000 on TV ads promoting Newman in the Albuquerque<\/st1:city> and the El Paso<\/st1:place><\/st1:city> television markets. As I reported on Wednesday<\/a>, almost $200,000 of that is being spent in the Albuquerque<\/st1:place><\/st1:city> market, which reaches every county in the 2nd District except Do\u00f1a Ana.<\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

The group also spent a little more than $12,000 to produce the TV ad, which you can see by clicking here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

That\u2019s on top of the nearly $250,000 the group is spending on a mailer, which you can view by clicking here<\/a>. The Realtors\u2019 PAC, according to its latest FEC filing, has spent $585,107.16 to promote Newman\u2019s candidacy.<\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

That has shifted the dynamic in this wide-open primary race, which was once thought by many to be a contest between Aubrey Dunn Jr.<\/a> and Ed Tinsley<\/a>. I suspected, before the Realtors got involved, that Dunn had the edge. That was because his strategy doesn\u2019t include winning Do\u00f1a<\/st1:placename> Ana<\/st1:placename> County<\/st1:placename>, but Tinsley\u2019s does, and two other GOP candidates \u2013 C. Earl Greer<\/a> and Greg Sowards<\/a> \u2013 are expected to draw support from Do\u00f1a<\/st1:placename> Ana<\/st1:placename> County<\/st1:placename><\/st1:place>.<\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

But the Realtors are pushing Newman across the district. Dunn is likely to win Otero<\/st1:placename> County<\/st1:placetype>, while Newman is likely to win Lea<\/st1:placename> County<\/st1:placetype><\/st1:place>. What about Do\u00f1a Ana, Chaves and Eddy counties? What about the smaller counties across the district? It\u2019s impossible to say, but I\u2019m guessing that that Newman\u2019s support from the Realtors puts a dent in Dunn\u2019s strategy just like Greer and Sowards have dented Tinsley\u2019s strategy.<\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

Thanks to the Realtors, Newman is on TV and in mailboxes across the district. Sowards, using his $325,000 loan to his own campaign, has covered the district in billboards and flooded Do\u00f1a<\/st1:placename> Ana<\/st1:placename> County<\/st1:placename><\/st1:place> radio stations with ads. Tinsley and Dunn are still running strong, and both are on TV. Greer continues to run a cheaper but strong, grassroots campaign.<\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

The only way to describe this race is wide open. It\u2019s impossible to predict who will win.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The National Association of Realtors Political Action Committee has now spent almost $600,000 to promote Republican 2nd Congressional District candidate Monty Newman. According to a notice it filed today with the Federal Election Commission, the group is spending almost $326,000 on TV ads promoting Newman in the Albuquerque and the El Paso television markets. As […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3198","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3198","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3198"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3198\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3198"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3198"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3198"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}