{"id":2470,"date":"2007-11-05T14:16:00","date_gmt":"2007-11-05T20:16:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nmpolitics.net\/index\/2007\/11\/chavez-beating-pearce-and-wilson-in-new-poll\/"},"modified":"2007-11-05T14:16:00","modified_gmt":"2007-11-05T20:16:00","slug":"chavez-beating-pearce-and-wilson-in-new-poll","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2007\/11\/chavez-beating-pearce-and-wilson-in-new-poll\/","title":{"rendered":"Ch\u00e1vez beating Pearce and Wilson in new poll"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a>A new poll of potential general-election match-ups in the U.S. Senate race finds that Albuquerque Mayor Martin Ch\u00e1vez<\/a> has gained a lot of ground in the last month. <\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

SurveyUSA\u2019s October poll<\/a>, conducted for KOB-TV<\/a> in Albuquerqu<\/st1:city>e<\/st1:city>, had Ch\u00e1vez losing to U.S.<\/st1:country-region><\/st1:place> Rep. Steve Pearce<\/a> by 21 points and to U.S. Rep. Heather Wilson<\/a> by four points. But the newest SurveyUSA poll<\/a>, conducted for the Washington<\/st1:state> publication Roll Call<\/a> and released today, has Ch\u00e1vez beating Pearce by five points and beating Wilson<\/st1:place><\/st1:city> by four points.<\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

The poll is good news for a campaign that has had some recent setbacks: Confusion has surrounded Ch\u00e1vez\u2019s finance committee<\/a> since his campaign listed at least two people as members who, at the time, had not agreed to join. In addition, U.S. Rep. Tom Udall<\/a>, D-N.M., is trying to put the pieces together for a serious challenge to Ch\u00e1vez in a Senate primary.<\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>The new poll did not compare Udall to Pearce and Wilson. It was conducted, Oct. 27-30, before Udall announced late last week that he was reconsidering whether to run for Senate.<\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

The poll did compare Gov. Bill Richa<\/a>rdson<\/a>, Lt. Gov. Diane Denish<\/a> and newcomer Don Wiviott<\/a> to Pearce and Wilson. Pearce lost to Denish by four points and Richardson<\/st1:place><\/st1:city> by 21 points, but he defeated Wiviott by 17 points in the newest poll, which surveyed 625 registered voters and has a margin of error of 4 percent. Wilson<\/st1:city> lost in the poll to Denish by six points and Richardson<\/st1:place><\/st1:city> by 22 points, but defeated Wiviott by 9 points.<\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

Richardson<\/st1:place><\/st1:city> insists he won\u2019t run for Senate even if he loses the presidential race, and Denish announced late last week that she won\u2019t run for Senate. Wiviott is running and for him, like for Ch\u00e1vez, the new poll is good news: Wiviott lost to Pearce by 35 points and lost to Wilson<\/st1:city><\/st1:place> by 17 points in the October poll, so he\u2019s essentially cut those deficits in half.<\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>Wiviott has traveled around the state since the October poll and received some press coverage, but neither he nor Ch\u00e1vez have done a lot in the last month to cause such a change in the polls, so I\u2019m not sure how to explain it. One thing I know: Progressive Democratic opposition to Ch\u00e1vez is high, and much of it is likely to go to Wiviott if Udall doesn\u2019t enter the race.<\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

The first poll was taken in the midst of the immediate scramble following Pete Domenici\u2019s<\/a> announcement that he wouldn\u2019t seek re-election. I find it likely that the public has spent time since then becoming more familiar with the candidates and issues. In addition, the Democratic wave appears to be pushing voters to the left.<\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>Another note: Udall beat both GOP candidates in the October poll by 18 points. If the shift to the left that helped Ch\u00e1vez and Wiviott so much in the new poll applies to Udall as well, he\u2019s in a great position.<\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n

In comparing Pearce and Wilson, the new poll found that Wilson<\/st1:place><\/st1:city> doesn\u2019t poll stronger among women than does Pearce, but Pearce polls a couple of points stronger among men. Pearce also polls a couple of points stronger among independents.<\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

Wilson<\/st1:place><\/st1:city>, the poll found, is better known than Pearce but also has higher unfavorable numbers. Pearce is viewed favorably by 21 percent and unfavorably by 22 percent. Wilson<\/st1:place><\/st1:city> is viewed favorably by 33 percent and unfavorably by 48 percent.<\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>On the Democratic side, Chavez is viewed favorably by 28 percent and unfavorably by 37 percent and Wiviott \u2013 as a further sign that his support is for any opposition to Ch\u00e1vez, not for the candidate himself \u2013 is viewed favorably by 2 percent and unfavorably by 7 percent. He\u2019s unknown to 59 percent.<\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

<\/o:p><\/p>\n

Denish is viewed favorably by 33 percent an unfavorably by 28 percent, and Richardson<\/st1:place><\/st1:city> is viewed favorably by 52 percent and unfavorably by 33 percent. Two lesser-known Democrats who are running\u2013 Jim Hannan<\/a> and Leland Lehrman<\/a> \u2013 weren\u2019t included in either survey.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A new poll of potential general-election match-ups in the U.S. Senate race finds that Albuquerque Mayor Martin Ch\u00e1vez has gained a lot of ground in the last month. SurveyUSA\u2019s October poll, conducted for KOB-TV in Albuquerque, had Ch\u00e1vez losing to U.S. Rep. Steve Pearce by 21 points and to U.S. Rep. Heather Wilson by four […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2470","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2470","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2470"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2470\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2470"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2470"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2470"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}