{"id":22121,"date":"2010-10-04T08:15:15","date_gmt":"2010-10-04T14:15:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nmpolitics.net\/index\/?p=22121"},"modified":"2010-10-05T08:23:38","modified_gmt":"2010-10-05T14:23:38","slug":"poll-analysis-martinez-remains-in-control","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2010\/10\/poll-analysis-martinez-remains-in-control\/","title":{"rendered":"Poll analysis: Martinez remains in control"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/a>

Susana Martinez (left, courtesy photo) and Diane Denish (photo by Heath Haussamen)<\/p><\/div>\n

The Albuquerque Journal\u2019s second poll<\/a> of the governor\u2019s race was released Sunday and found Republican Susana Martinez<\/a> leading Democrat Diane Denish<\/a> by 6 points.<\/p>\n

Martinez led 47 percent to 41 percent, with 12 percent undecided, the Journal reported. When \u201cleaners\u201d were included, Martinez\u2019s lead grew to seven points \u2013 49 percent to 42 percent \u2013 and when those surveyed who voted in both 2006 and 2008 were included, Martinez led 49 percent to 39 percent.<\/p>\n

In other words, there\u2019s no way to look at the poll results that\u2019s good for Denish.<\/p>\n

So the Denish campaign released its own poll<\/a>, taken at the same time as the Journal poll, that had Martinez leading by 1 point, 47 percent to 46 percent, with 7 percent undecided. Denish Campaign Chair Ted F. Martinez wrote in a fundraising e-mail that the differing poll numbers mean that \u201cthere is a volatile electorate and opinions are shifting on a daily basis.\u201d<\/p>\n

That logic appears to be flawed. With the exception of two polls conducted by the same Democratic firm, there has been remarkable consistency in the polls in recent weeks \u2013 consistency that has shown Martinez in the uppers 40s or better and Denish stuck in the lower 40s:<\/p>\n