{"id":212951,"date":"2016-11-11T06:25:11","date_gmt":"2016-11-11T13:25:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/?p=212951"},"modified":"2016-11-11T06:27:33","modified_gmt":"2016-11-11T13:27:33","slug":"the-trump-effect-on-mexicos-political-scene","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2016\/11\/the-trump-effect-on-mexicos-political-scene\/","title":{"rendered":"The Trump effect on Mexico\u2019s political scene"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_114577\"  class=\"wp-caption module image alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 771px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/ivangm\/8569585702\/in\/photolist-e4gngC-4PHKxs-fSNgoV-eUPiz-4QbSjo-4nCMJn-4nH3fW-qBz9wJ-nxwdA-rvvoND-qVhv7k-4PHHGG-5hBVkQ-qz72fT-Aad1eD-bZo8D-Ak1FM1-5jnUK1-tQyD6L-4YchjH-4Yc9Hx-5hBRME-s7ainq-4bKyaz-pkCWXF-qzmPVW-4nCy6X-4nD4wB-4nH8W3-opJtA5-83YtHS-p56nbj-4nCAQH-4nCWSz-4Yd6FB-5jiLGH-pEDkMy-7xKtZQ-4S4NY4-iKXasM-dazxs3-5hFAWg-pkCWEr-4PDuc8-7xKtV5-5hFBqP-5hKYno-q5YhqX-4Ycuhk-4YjpCj\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-114577 size-large\" src=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/Mexican-flag-771x490.jpg\" alt=\"Mexican flag\" width=\"771\" height=\"490\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/Mexican-flag-771x490.jpg 771w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/Mexican-flag-336x214.jpg 336w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/Mexican-flag-768x488.jpg 768w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/Mexican-flag-1170x744.jpg 1170w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/Mexican-flag.jpg 1500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 771px) 100vw, 771px\" \/><\/a><p class=\"wp-media-credit\">iivangm \/ flickr<\/p><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Trump\u2019s triumph elicited some political reactions more suited to a national emergency \u2014 or an upcoming Mexican presidential election. (<a href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/2.0\/\" target=\"_blank\">photo cc info<\/a>)<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Like no other U.S. presidential election in modern times, the stunning victory of Donald Trump is shaking up Mexico\u2019s political scene and shaping the ground for the country\u2019s own presidential transition in 2018.<\/p>\n<p>Especially if the U.S. president-elect makes good on his promises to deport undocumented immigrants, build a bigger border wall, and toss out the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), questions about\u00a0the U.S.-Mexico relationship and Mexican sovereignty will likely play much bigger roles in the next presidential and congressional Mexican elections than in previous ones. Whiffs of a political shift are in the air.<\/p>\n<p>The post-election plunge in the value of an already weakened peso, coupled with a downturn in the Mexican stock market, exhibited the widespread apprehension over Trump\u2019s victory. Banco Santander analysts predicted a volatile peso until the economic plans of the new U.S. administration are known.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"module align-left half type-aside\">\n<h3>About this article<\/h3>\n<p>This story was produced by\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/frontera.nmsu.edu\/\" target=\"_blank\">Frontera NorteSur<\/a>,\u00a0a U.S.-Mexico border news service run by the Center for Latin American and Border Studies at New Mexico State University.<\/p>\n<\/aside>\n<p>Senior members of the Pe\u00f1a Nieto administration downplayed the negative significance of the U.S. election, with officials such as Finance Secretary Jose Antonio Meade and Bank of Mexico head Agustin Carstens stressing Mexico\u2019s macroeconomic indices.\u00a0 Quickly moving to calm national nerves, President Enrique Pe\u00f1a Nieto reported that he and Trump had a \u201ccordial\u201d telephone conversation and mutually agreed on the need for a new binational agenda. A possible meeting between the two leaders could happen before Trump\u2019s January inauguration, according to La Jornada daily.<\/p>\n<p>But Trump\u2019s triumph elicited other political reactions more suited to a national emergency &#8212; or an upcoming Mexican presidential election. Notably, Mexico\u2019s two leading 2018 presidential hopefuls made back-to-back public statements in the hours surrounding the U.S. vote. In a Facebook message posted Tuesday\u00a0evening, the left-leaning Morena party\u2019s Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador called on Mexicans to stay tranquil.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere will be no bigger problems because we are going to make use of our right of sovereignty, whoever is in the presidency of the United States,\u201d the former Mexico City mayor said.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"aBn\" data-term=\"goog_235118360\"><span class=\"aQJ\">Eight hours later<\/span><\/span>, in a video uploaded to social media, the conservative National Action Party\u2019s Margarita Zavala, who had earlier expressed desire for a Hillary Clinton victory, released her own message without mentioning Trump\u2019s name.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis is the hour of uniting all of us to defend all we have achieved and all that we are as a country. We are a strong nation that could assume a strong position of respect before any nation of the world,\u201d the wife of ex-president Felipe Calderon said. \u201cLet\u2019s not forget who we are: We are Mexico.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Trump\u2019s victory proved to be the occasion for another potential presidential candidate, Nuevo Leon Gov.\u00a0Jaime \u201cEl Bronco\u201d Rodriguez Calderon, to blast off a trial balloon via Twitter.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Mexicans across the political spectrum voiced alarm at Trump\u2019s triumph. Jorge Casta\u00f1eda, who served as foreign minister during the administration of President Vicente Fox, termed the Republican candidate\u2019s victory \u201ca catastrophe for Mexico.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Saying he doubted Trump would deport an estimated 11 million undocumented residents of the United States, Casta\u00f1eda nonetheless predicted the new U.S. president would deport about two million Mexicans, a number similar to the Obama Administration\u2019s deportation record. The U.S. election results \u201cdemand that Mexican elites lend more attention to the bilateral relationship,\u201d Casta\u00f1eda said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe abhorrent thing that is sick and crazy is that Mexico is at the center of the U.S. campaign and we don\u2019t do anything,\u201d he said. The Mexican academic also predicted that Trump would seek to renegotiate but not scrap NAFTA &#8212; and add to the size of a border wall that in fact already exists on sections of the line between the U.S. and Mexico.<\/p>\n<p>Javier Corral, the new governor of the border state of Chihuahua, said he would reach out to the Pe\u00f1a Nieto administration, fellow border governors and Chihuahua-born migrants, many of whom live in California, Texas, New Mexico and Colorado. While deploring the U.S. election as scary, Corral said it was also time to refocus discussion on immigration, push border economic development and protect Mexican immigrants in the United States from persecution.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe government of the Republic, the president of the Republic, should turn their eyes to see the northern border at this moment as a strategic bastion,\u201d Corral added.<\/p>\n<p>Civil society organizations also began weighing in on the Trump victory. Based in Saltillo, Coahuila, Casa del Migrante urged Mexico City to establish a \u201cdiplomatic and political counterweight\u201d with other Latin American nations for the purpose of protecting their nationals in the United States.<\/p>\n<p>Appealing for consistency in principle and practice, the migrant assistance and advocacy organization proposed a revamping of Mexican immigration policies.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt is more important now than ever for the Mexican State to change its restrictive migration policy into one that takes up the challenge and opportunity of transforming this country back to what it once was: a Mexico disposed to protect and give entrance to all human beings that need its protection,\u201dCasa del Migrante stated.<\/p>\n<p><em>Sources: La Jornada, <span class=\"aBn\" data-term=\"goog_235118361\"><span class=\"aQJ\">November 10, 2016<\/span><\/span>. Articles by Israel Rodriguez, Rosa Elvira Vargas and editorial staff. Aristeguinoticias.com, November 9, 2016. Article by Isaias Robles. Arrobajuarez.com, November 9, 2016. Lapolaka.com, November 9, 2016. El Universal, November 8, 2016. El Diario de Juarez\/El Financiero, November 8 and 9, 2016.\u00a0 Proceso\/Apro, November 8 and 9, 2016. Articles by Alvaro Delgado, Juan Carlos Cruz Vargas, Mathieu Tourliere, Luciano Campos Garza, and editorial staff.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Like no other U.S. presidential election in modern times, the stunning victory of Donald Trump is shaking up Mexico\u2019s political scene.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2732,"featured_media":114577,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[708,140,3307,236,226],"class_list":["post-212951","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-2016-election","tag-border-and-immigration","tag-donald-trump","tag-mexico","tag-presidential-race"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/212951","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2732"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=212951"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/212951\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/114577"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=212951"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=212951"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=212951"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}