{"id":203292,"date":"2016-10-30T22:12:10","date_gmt":"2016-10-31T04:12:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/?p=203292"},"modified":"2016-10-31T21:42:14","modified_gmt":"2016-11-01T03:42:14","slug":"trump-campaigns-in-abq-as-gop-cuts-into-dems-lead-in-nm-voting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2016\/10\/trump-campaigns-in-abq-as-gop-cuts-into-dems-lead-in-nm-voting\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump campaigns in ABQ as GOP cuts into Dems&#8217; lead in NM voting"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_72372\"  class=\"wp-caption module image alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 771px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/gageskidmore\/5440990018\/in\/photolist-9hNuLJ-9hKrun-9hHqDv-9hLwdw-9hNwso-9hHpJr-9hLx6s-9hLwSC-9hKpTt-9hKraP-9hNwi1-9hKp4g-9hNvWh-HkLZL-2oQiC-9KUYs-9hLxAs-9VjNra-9KD2oX-qu7Gu-9rmBGH-9VT6fh-uooUsi-5RhK99-9hNwCN-9hKpmZ-9hNvfQ-9hKrPH-9hNvzC-9hKoVK-9hKrkx-9u7qjZ-9rd77n-xRyc1-9rknN8-5KnqeT-9rphtQ-9wtCb2-9uayT3-9FTZtY-fNcrqH-vPTJzZ-6Rnrkd-5Dd1xc-bXt9R-4r8psj-vGv8u-uT5y6P-vMTbLN-9DncXb\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-72372 size-large\" src=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald-771x494.jpg\" alt=\"Donald Trump\" width=\"771\" height=\"494\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald-771x494.jpg 771w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald-336x215.jpg 336w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald-768x493.jpg 768w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald-1170x750.jpg 1170w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald-780x500.jpg 780w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald.jpg 1500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 771px) 100vw, 771px\" \/><\/a><p class=\"wp-media-credit\">Gage Skidmore \/ Creative Commons<\/p><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump. (<a href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-sa\/2.0\/\" target=\"_blank\">photo cc info<\/a>)<\/p><\/div>\n<p>With Republicans and independents gaining ground on Democrats in voting in New Mexico over the last week, GOP\u00a0presidential nominee Donald Trump insisted during a rally in Albuquerque on Sunday that he can win the state&#8217;s five electoral votes.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI\u2019m going to tell you a little secret \u2026 We\u2019re tied in New Mexico,\u201d Trump told the crowd, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.abqjournal.com\/878323\/donald-trump-rally-puts-albuquerque-in-national-spotlight.html?utm_source=abqjournal.com&amp;utm_medium=breaking+bar+-+home&amp;utm_campaign=breaking+bar\" target=\"_blank\">according to the Albuquerque Journal<\/a>. \u201cIn nine days, we are going to win this state, and we are going to take back the White House.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In fact, polling\u00a0this week showed a tightening race in New Mexico and nationwide. A poll of likely New Mexico voters\u00a0showed Trump cutting Democrat Hillary Clinton&#8217;s lead to 5 percentage points here, <a href=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2016\/10\/new-poll-finds-trump-gaining-on-clinton-in-new-mexico\/\" target=\"_blank\">45-40 percent<\/a>.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"module align-left half type-aside\">\n<h3>View the data<\/h3>\n<p>For this article, we used\u00a0data on in-person and absentee voting by county, through the close of business on Saturday, from the Secretary of State&#8217;s Office. View it here:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/10.29.16-Early-voting-NM.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">In-person voting<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/10.29.16-Absentee-voting-NM.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">Absentee voting<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/aside>\n<p>Meanwhile, Republican and independent voters are\u00a0cutting\u00a0into the significant\u00a0lead in voting turnout Democrats had been enjoying in New Mexico.<\/p>\n<p>Through Oct. 29 &#8212; Saturday &#8212; 257,863 New Mexicans had voted in person, according to data provided Sunday by the Secretary of State&#8217;s Office. Nearly 52 percent were Democrats &#8212; <a href=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2016\/10\/early-voting-continues-to-favor-democrats-in-new-mexico\/\" target=\"_blank\">down from 58 percent who had voted in person through Oct. 22<\/a>, a week earlier. Republicans gained 5 percent of the overall in-person\u00a0voting total\u00a0in the last week, going from 30 percent of all votes cast through Oct. 22 to 35 percent through Oct. 29.<\/p>\n<p>Independents and\u00a0members of other parties gained two percent, going from 12 percent of the overall in-person\u00a0vote through Oct. 22 to 14 percent through Oct. 29.<\/p>\n<p>Republicans also gained ground in absentee voting. Through Saturday, 36,679 absentee ballots had been returned, the Secretary of State&#8217;s Office reported. While 47 percent of those came from Democrats &#8212; <a href=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2016\/10\/early-voting-continues-to-favor-democrats-in-new-mexico\/\" target=\"_blank\">down from 49 percent through Oct. 22<\/a>, a week earlier\u00a0&#8212; 39 percent came from Republicans, which was up from 37 percent\u00a0on Oct. 22. On both Oct. 22 and Oct. 29, independents and members of minor parties accounted for 14 percent of absentee ballots returned.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.sos.state.nm.us\/uploads\/FileLinks\/c2426e22e02d478ca940282b232f0647\/STATEWIDE_SEPT_30_16.PDF\" target=\"_blank\">As of Sept. 30<\/a>, 47 percent of registered voters in New Mexico were\u00a0Democrats, 31 percent were\u00a0Republicans, and 22 percent\u00a0were\u00a0independents or members of other parties. So to win statewide races in New Mexico, Republicans have to win Democratic and independent votes.<\/p>\n<p>We won&#8217;t\u00a0know how those in-person\u00a0and absentee voters are voting in the presidential race or any other contest until the votes are tallied after the polls close on Nov. 8. But the most recent New Mexico poll may shed\u00a0some light.<\/p>\n<p>In that\u00a0poll, about 17 percent of those surveyed said they associate with a party other than Democrat or Republican, or as independents. Trump was leading Clinton by 3 percent among that group.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>The poll also found Trump winning more crossover votes. Twenty percent of Democrats said they supported\u00a0Trump, while 13 percent of Republicans said they supported Clinton.<\/p>\n<p>The survey, from ZiaPoll, also found Trump leading Clinton among voters between the ages of 18 and 34. While fewer young people are registered as Republicans, \u201cTrump is seeing substantial support from the other parties represented within this voting block,\u201d ZiaPoll\u2019s <a href=\"http:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/polls\/20161027_NM.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">polling memo<\/a> states.<\/p>\n<p>The most recent nationwide polls have <a href=\"http:\/\/www.politico.com\/story\/2016\/10\/battleground-polls-clinton-trump-230507\" target=\"_blank\">Clinton&#8217;s lead slipping<\/a>. In most she&#8217;s leading Trump <a href=\"http:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2016\/president\/us\/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html\" target=\"_blank\">by just\u00a0a few percentage points<\/a>. On Sunday, Trump also predicted that the polls are wrong &#8212; in his favor.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This will be Brexit times ten,&#8221; Trump said Sunday in Albuquerque, referring to the fact that most polls leading up to the United Kingdom&#8217;s vote to leave the European Union earlier this year <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2016\/07\/04\/why-the-majority-of-brexit-polls-were-wrong.html\" target=\"_blank\">were wrong<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>After Trump&#8217;s rally, Deb Haaland, chairwoman of the Democratic Party of New Mexico, referenced the fact that Democrats still hold the lead in early voting, saying the numbers show &#8220;<span class=\"m_2665010545299818044gmail-s1\">that New Mexicans aren\u2019t buying Donald Trump&#8217;s dangerous and divisive rhetoric.&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"m_2665010545299818044gmail-s1\">&#8220;The Republican vision for our state and our country couldn\u2019t be more different than Democrats\u2019 vision, and Trump\u2019s desperate attempt to shore up support in New Mexico won\u2019t work,&#8221; Haaland said. &#8220;Democrats will work everyday to ensure Hillary\u2019s message resonates in our state, and we&#8217;ll ensure that our voters cast their ballots for Democratic candidates up and down the ballot.&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The state Republican Party had its own message following Trump&#8217;s rally.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Trump&#8217;s second visit to New Mexico is proof that New Mexico is in play,&#8221; spokesman Tucker Keene said. &#8220;The turnout <span class=\"aBn\" data-term=\"goog_1633284655\"><span class=\"aQJ\">tonight<\/span><\/span> was fantastic and shows that Trump&#8217;s message of making America great again is resonating across our state. Hillary Clinton and the Democrats are taking New Mexico for granted, but the voters know better and their enthusiasm for Donald Trump will\u00a0be reflected on Election Day.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><em>This article has been updated with Keene&#8217;s comments.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Republican and independent voters are cutting into the significant lead in voting turnout Democrats had been enjoying in New Mexico.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":72372,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[708,139,3307,226],"class_list":["post-203292","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-2016-election","tag-albuquerque","tag-donald-trump","tag-presidential-race"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/203292","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=203292"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/203292\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/72372"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=203292"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=203292"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=203292"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}