{"id":197530,"date":"2016-10-14T08:32:00","date_gmt":"2016-10-14T14:32:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/?p=197530"},"modified":"2016-10-16T13:44:01","modified_gmt":"2016-10-16T19:44:01","slug":"trumps-support-drops-in-nm-following-video-release-polling-finds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2016\/10\/trumps-support-drops-in-nm-following-video-release-polling-finds\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump&#8217;s support drops in NM following video release, polling finds"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Polling done this week finds that\u00a0Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has lost some\u00a0support in New Mexico &#8212; and he may also be dragging down GOP legislative candidates locked in a heated battle for\u00a0control of the N.M. House of Representatives.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_72372\"  class=\"wp-caption module image alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 336px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/gageskidmore\/5440990018\/in\/photolist-9hNuLJ-9hKrun-9hHqDv-9hLwdw-9hNwso-9hHpJr-9hLx6s-9hLwSC-9hKpTt-9hKraP-9hNwi1-9hKp4g-9hNvWh-HkLZL-2oQiC-9KUYs-9hLxAs-9VjNra-9KD2oX-qu7Gu-9rmBGH-9VT6fh-uooUsi-5RhK99-9hNwCN-9hKpmZ-9hNvfQ-9hKrPH-9hNvzC-9hKoVK-9hKrkx-9u7qjZ-9rd77n-xRyc1-9rknN8-5KnqeT-9rphtQ-9wtCb2-9uayT3-9FTZtY-fNcrqH-vPTJzZ-6Rnrkd-5Dd1xc-bXt9R-4r8psj-vGv8u-uT5y6P-vMTbLN-9DncXb\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-72372 size-medium\" src=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald-336x215.jpg\" alt=\"Donald Trump\" width=\"336\" height=\"215\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald-336x215.jpg 336w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald-768x493.jpg 768w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald-771x494.jpg 771w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald-1170x750.jpg 1170w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald-780x500.jpg 780w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald.jpg 1500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 336px) 100vw, 336px\" \/><\/a><p class=\"wp-media-credit\">Gage Skidmore \/ Creative Commons<\/p><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump. (<a href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-sa\/2.0\/\" target=\"_blank\">photo cc info<\/a>)<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Trump&#8217;s support has dropped this week by an average of 8-10 percentage points in several legislative districts in New Mexico. That&#8217;s according to a Republican source who has access to polling conducted\u00a0since last Friday&#8217;s release of\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/politics\/trump-recorded-having-extremely-lewd-conversation-about-women-in-2005\/2016\/10\/07\/3b9ce776-8cb4-11e6-bf8a-3d26847eeed4_story.html?hpid=hp_hp-top-table-main_trumptape-404pm%3Ahomepage%2Fstory\" target=\"_blank\">a 2005 video<\/a>\u00a0showing\u00a0Trump making lewd comments about women.\u00a0Some of Trump&#8217;s lost\u00a0support is going to Libertarian presidential nominee Gary Johnson, the source said, but more of it is going to Democrat Hillary Clinton.<\/p>\n<p>The source, who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of polling data, said support for\u00a0Republican state legislative candidates is also dropping this week in the districts polled,\u00a0though not as much\u00a0as Trump&#8217;s.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Polling shows that Trump is now dragging down legislators,&#8221; the source said, adding that there&#8217;s a real possibility Republicans could lose control of the state House, which they&#8217;ve held the last two years for the first time in decades.<\/p>\n<p>The source didn&#8217;t say which legislative districts were polled or release any other information. And there&#8217;s been no publicly released polling of New Mexico voters since the video of Trump was released Friday.<\/p>\n<p>But the New Mexico polling described by the source matches what&#8217;s happening across much of the nation. One poll, for example, found <a href=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/2016\/10\/12\/press-release-title\/\" target=\"_blank\">voters in Wisconsin shifting to Clinton<\/a> after the release of the Trump video.<\/p>\n<p>The survey asked Wisconsin voters about the presidential race the day before, day of, and the two days after the video was released.\u00a0Clinton trailed\u00a0among voters polled\u00a0the day before by 1 percentage point. She led among voters polled the day the video was released by 6 points. And she led the two days after by 19 points.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Clinton is ahead\u00a0by nearly 12 points\u00a0in Michigan, according to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.detroitnews.com\/story\/news\/politics\/2016\/10\/12\/presidential-poll-michigan\/91964392\/\" target=\"_blank\">a poll conducted there on Sunday<\/a>. Her lead grew by nearly 7 points from a previous poll in late September &#8212; not because she gained much support, but because Trump lost. In the new survey, 25 percent of Michigan Republicans said Trump should drop out of the race.<\/p>\n<p>And <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/politics\/articles\/2016-10-13\/pennsylvania-poll\" target=\"_blank\">a poll of Pennsylvania voters<\/a> conducted from Friday-Tuesday, after the video&#8217;s release, found Clinton leading in that state by 9 points. Some 60 percent of likely voters, including 24 percent of Trump supporters, said they were bothered a lot by the video.<\/p>\n<p>Nationally, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/2016\/10\/13\/fox-news-poll-clinton-leads-trump-by-7-points.html\" target=\"_blank\">a Fox News poll released Thursday<\/a> showed Clinton&#8217;s lead over Trump widening to 7 points, 45 percent to 38 percent. &#8220;Trump\u2019s enthusiasm advantage has evaporated: 70 percent of his backers &#8216;strongly&#8217; supported him last week. That\u2019s 63 percent now,&#8221; Fox News reported. &#8220;For Clinton, it\u2019s 66 percent, up from 57 percent.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;If the Republicans are not at rock-bottom, they can certainly see the bottom from where they are,&#8221; GOP pollster Daron Shaw, who conducted the Fox News poll with Democrat Chris Anderson, was quoted as saying.<\/p>\n<p>Two polls conducted before the video&#8217;s release gave differing pictures of the state of the\u00a0presidential race in New Mexico. One, conducted Sept. 27-29 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.abqjournal.com\/857961\/clinton-trump-in-tight-race-in-new-mexico.html\" target=\"_blank\">for the Albuquerque Journal<\/a>, had Clinton at 35 percent, Trump at 31 percent, and Johnson at 24 percent. Another, conducted Sept. 28-Oct. 2\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.surveyusa.com\/client\/PollReport.aspx?g=fda53900-e6db-46a6-86a5-81e39fd92d32\" target=\"_blank\">for KOB-TV<\/a>, had Clinton at 46 percent, Trump at 33 percent, and Johnson at 14 percent.<\/p>\n<h3>The legislative battle<\/h3>\n<p>Some\u00a0Republicans nationally, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.politico.com\/story\/2016\/10\/paul-ryan-donald-trump-house-republicans-229716\" target=\"_blank\">including Speaker of the House Paul Ryan<\/a>, appear\u00a0to have\u00a0given up on Trump winning the presidential race and are shifting their focus to trying to keep control of the U.S. House of Representatives.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;With the momentum fully in her favor, Hillary&#8217;s aiming for a total liberal takeover. She&#8217;s shifting her resources to secure Congress for her radical liberal agenda,&#8221; the National Republican Congressional Committee, the fundraising arm of House Republicans, wrote in a Thursday\u00a0fundraising email. &#8220;We CANNOT let her destroy the last line of defense for conservative values.&#8221;<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_56542\"  class=\"wp-caption module image alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 336px;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-56542\" src=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/Kids-at-Roundhouse-336x220.jpg\" alt=\"A statue outside the Roundhouse in Santa Fe.\" width=\"336\" height=\"220\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/Kids-at-Roundhouse-336x220.jpg 336w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/Kids-at-Roundhouse-768x502.jpg 768w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/Kids-at-Roundhouse-771x504.jpg 771w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/Kids-at-Roundhouse-1170x764.jpg 1170w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/Kids-at-Roundhouse.jpg 1500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 336px) 100vw, 336px\" \/><p class=\"wp-media-credit\">Heath Haussamen \/ NMPolitics.net<\/p><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">A statue outside the Roundhouse in Santa Fe.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>That concern\u00a0is playing out in New Mexico too, where Republicans took control of the state House in 2014 for the first time in decades, winning a 37-33 majority. The two major parties are battling for control of the House and also fighting over several state Senate seats, though Republicans aren&#8217;t expected to wrestle control of the Senate away from Democrats.<\/p>\n<p>Some\u00a0Republican candidates in New Mexico have responded with disgust\u00a0to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/politics\/trump-recorded-having-extremely-lewd-conversation-about-women-in-2005\/2016\/10\/07\/3b9ce776-8cb4-11e6-bf8a-3d26847eeed4_story.html?hpid=hp_hp-top-table-main_trumptape-404pm%3Ahomepage%2Fstory\" target=\"_blank\">the video<\/a>, which shows Trump talking about trying unsuccessfully to have sex with a married woman and claiming to kiss and grab women \u201cby the pussy\u201d without their consent. And since\u00a0Trump <a href=\"http:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/trump-says-never-assaulted-women-debate-508103\" target=\"_blank\">denied at a Sunday debate<\/a> actually doing the things he claimed to do in the video, several women have come forward <a href=\"http:\/\/people.com\/politics\/donald-trump-attacked-people-writer\/\" target=\"_blank\">to accuse him<\/a> of doing <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2016\/10\/13\/us\/politics\/donald-trump-women.html\" target=\"_blank\">exactly what he described<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>State Rep. Andy Nu\u00f1ez, R-Hatch, who is in a tough re-election battle against Democrat Nathan Small, <a href=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2016\/10\/what-will-nm-republicans-say-about-newly-released-trump-video\/\" target=\"_blank\">denounced Trump<\/a> on Saturday when asked about the video, saying the presidential candidate&#8217;s comments were &#8220;terribly offensive&#8221; and he doesn&#8217;t support anyone in the presidential race.<\/p>\n<p>Rep.\u00a0Sarah Maestas Barnes, R-Albuquerque, who is in a hot\u00a0battle with Democratic challenger Ane Romero, called Trump\u2019s comments <a href=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2016\/10\/what-will-nm-republicans-say-about-newly-released-trump-video\/\" target=\"_blank\">\u201coffensive and disgraceful.\u201d<\/a> But she didn\u2019t say if she will vote for Trump.<\/p>\n<p>Several other Republican legislative candidates in close\u00a0races haven&#8217;t responded to NMPolitics.net&#8217;s emails seeking comment.<\/p>\n<p>Republicans in New Mexico, like elsewhere, are divided over Trump.\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2016\/10\/martinez-says-she-will-not-support-trump-for-president\/\" target=\"_blank\">Gov. Susana Martinez <\/a>has said she\u00a0won\u2019t support him. But others, including\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2016\/10\/pearce-supports-trump-but-says-comments-about-women-were-horrid\/\" target=\"_blank\">U.S. Rep. Steve Pearce<\/a> and\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2016\/10\/nm-gop-chair-stands-by-trump-calls-him-a-different-man-today\/\" target=\"_blank\">state GOP Chairwoman Debbie Maestas<\/a>, have reaffirmed their support for Trump.<\/p>\n<p>Republican secretary of state candidate Nora Espinoza, meanwhile, has refused to comment on Trump&#8217;s words, saying she&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2016\/10\/espinoza-defends-decision-to-stay-out-of-presidential-race\/\" target=\"_blank\">focused on her own race<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The GOP presidential nominee may also be dragging down Republican legislative candidates locked in a heated battle for control of the N.M. House of Representatives.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":72372,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[708,3307,226,194,107],"class_list":["post-197530","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-2016-election","tag-donald-trump","tag-presidential-race","tag-republican-party","tag-roundhouse"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/197530","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=197530"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/197530\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/72372"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=197530"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=197530"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=197530"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}