{"id":175722,"date":"2016-08-10T20:48:49","date_gmt":"2016-08-11T02:48:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/?p=175722"},"modified":"2016-10-12T13:10:06","modified_gmt":"2016-10-12T19:10:06","slug":"trump-calls-nafta-a-disaster-texas-republicans-beg-to-differ","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/2016\/08\/trump-calls-nafta-a-disaster-texas-republicans-beg-to-differ\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump calls NAFTA a &#8216;disaster.&#8217; Texas Republicans beg to differ."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Caught between the anti-globalist\u00a0tirades\u00a0of their presidential standard bearer and their state&#8217;s close trade ties with Mexico,\u00a0Texas congressional Republicans are straddling a tricky political line\u00a0when it comes to talk of renegotiating the North American Free Trade Agreement.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_72372\"  class=\"wp-caption module image alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 336px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/gageskidmore\/5440990018\/in\/photolist-9hNuLJ-9hKrun-9hHqDv-9hLwdw-9hNwso-9hHpJr-9hLx6s-9hLwSC-9hKpTt-9hKraP-9hNwi1-9hKp4g-9hNvWh-HkLZL-2oQiC-9KUYs-9hLxAs-9VjNra-9KD2oX-qu7Gu-9rmBGH-9VT6fh-uooUsi-5RhK99-9hNwCN-9hKpmZ-9hNvfQ-9hKrPH-9hNvzC-9hKoVK-9hKrkx-9u7qjZ-9rd77n-xRyc1-9rknN8-5KnqeT-9rphtQ-9wtCb2-9uayT3-9FTZtY-fNcrqH-vPTJzZ-6Rnrkd-5Dd1xc-bXt9R-4r8psj-vGv8u-uT5y6P-vMTbLN-9DncXb\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-72372 size-medium\" src=\"http:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald-336x215.jpg\" alt=\"Donald Trump\" width=\"336\" height=\"215\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald-336x215.jpg 336w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald-768x493.jpg 768w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald-771x494.jpg 771w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald-1170x750.jpg 1170w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald-780x500.jpg 780w, https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/Trump-Donald.jpg 1500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 336px) 100vw, 336px\" \/><\/a><p class=\"wp-media-credit\">Gage Skidmore \/ Creative Commons<\/p><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump. (<a href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-sa\/2.0\/\" target=\"_blank\">Photo cc info<\/a>)<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Republican nominee Donald Trump called NAFTA a \u201cdisaster\u201d and backed\u00a0renegotiating the pact in a policy speech in Detroit on Monday. Barring a better deal, he said, the United States should withdraw from the 22-year-old\u00a0agreement that lowered trade barriers between the United States, Mexico and Canada.<\/p>\n<p>Texas\u00a0grassroots conservatives\u00a0also want\u00a0to abandon the deal. The Republican Party of Texas&#8217;\u00a02016\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.texasgop.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/PERM-PLATFORM.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">platform<\/a>\u00a0demands \u201cimmediate\u00a0withdrawal from the North American Free Trade Agreement.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>But when The Texas Tribune reached out to each of the 27 Republican members of the Texas congressional delegation, not\u00a0one joined in Trump&#8217;s call for renegotiating the treaty. None agreed to be interviewed, three responded with written statements and the others either did not respond or declined to comment.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNAFTA is responsible for increasing trade between Texas and Mexico by almost 110 percent since 2004,\u201d Rep.\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.texastribune.org\/directory\/will-hurd\/\" target=\"_blank\">Will Hurd<\/a>, R-San Antonio, said in a statement.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTexas leads the nation in exports and benefits from international agreements that put Texans\u2019 goods and services in front of more customers,\u201d said\u00a0Rep.\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.texastribune.org\/directory\/lamar-smith\/\" target=\"_blank\">Lamar Smith<\/a>, R-San Antonio,\u00a0who\u00a0voted to ratify NAFTA in 1993.<\/p>\n<p>In 1991, the year before President George H. W. Bush signed on to the terms of NAFTA, Texas exported $15.5 billion in goods to Mexico, according to the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/texascenter.tamiu.edu\/PDF_NAFTA\/techrp06.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">Texas Center\u2019s Institute for International Trade<\/a>. By 2015, that had\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.trade.gov\/mas\/ian\/statereports\/states\/tx.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">increased sixfold<\/a>. Last year, Texas\u2019 export industry employed 1.1 million people \u2014 the most in the country, according to\u00a0the U.S. Department of Commerce.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"module align-left half type-aside\">\n<h3>About this article<\/h3>\n<p>This article originally appeared in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.texastribune.org\/2016\/08\/09\/nafta-poses-challenge-texas-republicans\/\" target=\"_blank\">The Texas Tribune<\/a>,\u00a0a nonpartisan, nonprofit media organization that informs Texans and engages with them about public policy, politics, government and statewide issues.<\/p>\n<\/aside>\n<p>\u201cNAFTA is not a dirty word in Texas,\u201d U.S. Senate Majority Whip\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.texastribune.org\/directory\/john-cornyn\/\" target=\"_blank\">John Cornyn<\/a>\u00a0said in a March\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/20160316_mexico_border_transcript.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">interview with the Brookings Institute<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Texas GOP public opinion on international trade deals has nonetheless soured. While no recent Texas polls have tracked NAFTA&#8217;s\u00a0popularity specifically,\u00a0a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/texaspolitics.utexas.edu\/set\/international-trade-deals-june-2016\" target=\"_blank\">June 2016 poll<\/a>\u00a0conducted by the University of Texas at Austin\u2019s Texas Politics Project showed\u00a051 percent of state Republicans view trade agreements unfavorably, compared with just 17 percent who support them.<\/p>\n<p>Scott Lincicome, an adjunct scholar at the Cato Institute, said public opinion of trade deals is often subject to \u201cblind partisanship.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Some Texas Republicans may dislike NAFTA in part because it was ratified when Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton&#8217;s husband was president,\u00a0said\u00a0Republican Party of Texas communications director Michael Joyce.<\/p>\n<p>Clinton was also secretary of state during early negotiations of\u00a0the pending\u00a0Trans-Pacific Partnership.<\/p>\n<p>Even Texas&#8217; NAFTA detractors say the state has seen an economic boost from the deal\u2019s reduced trade barriers.<\/p>\n<p>U.S. Rep.<a href=\"http:\/\/www.texastribune.org\/directory\/gene-green\/\" target=\"_blank\">\u00a0Gene Green<\/a>, D-Houston, who voted against NAFTA&#8217;s ratification, said, \u201cI think NAFTA\u2019s benefited the state as whole, but it hasn\u2019t necessarily benefited my district.\u201d Green added that if NAFTA were up for a vote today, he would not vote for it.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>U.S. Rep.\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.texastribune.org\/directory\/beto-orourke\/\" target=\"_blank\">Beto O&#8217;Rourke<\/a>, D-El Paso, said his region was &#8220;devastated&#8221; by NAFTA initially, with thousands of manufacturing jobs moving just across the border &#8220;almost overnight.&#8221; Eventually, though, El Paso adapted to the new economic reality, regaining many of the jobs originally lost,\u00a0he said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;If you\u2019re just looking at the net impact, NAFTA was positive,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>Trump\u2019s campaign did not respond to multiple requests for comment, but Trump has suggested that he would renegotiate NAFTA by creating tariffs on certain goods to help protect U.S. manufacturers from foreign competition.<\/p>\n<p>Tim Wise, director of the research and policy program at Tufts University\u2019s Global Development and Environment Institute, has long\u00a0criticized\u00a0NAFTA\u2019s lax environmental and labor standards. Like Trump, he\u00a0would like to see NAFTA renegotiated. But he called Trump\u2019s likely reform plan \u201cabsurd.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe idea that the U.S. could bully Mexico into accepting whatever trade protection Trump wants to impose without giving anything in return is not the way trade negotiations work,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>Lincicome, a NAFTA supporter, noted that the tariffs Trump may\u00a0favor\u00a0are subject to congressional approval. But if Trump were to pull out of the deal, he said, many Texans, particularly poorer consumers and workers in the all-important energy sector,\u00a0would feel a \u201cdevastating\u201d economic backlash.<\/p>\n<p>No Texas congressional Republicans addressed the possibility of a NAFTA opt-out.<\/p>\n<p>In 2008, then-Senators Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton both said the next president should\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2008\/02\/26\/us\/politics\/26text-debate.html?_r=0\" target=\"_blank\">use an opt-out<\/a>\u00a0as leverage to renegotiate the deal\u2019s labor and environmental standards.<\/p>\n<p>President George W. Bush, a former governor of Texas,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/usatoday30.usatoday.com\/news\/washington\/2008-04-22-3895588483_x.htm\" target=\"_blank\">defended NAFTA then<\/a>, saying, \u201cnow is not the time to renegotiate NAFTA or walk away from NAFTA.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>A campaign spokeswoman would not specify which aspects of NAFTA Clinton would now like to see changed or whether Clinton would opt out if those standards are not met.<\/p>\n<p>Many NAFTA critics, including Green and Wise,\u00a0attribute some of America&#8217;s immigration challenges to Mexican workers&#8217; inability to prosper under NAFTA&#8217;s poorly enforced labor standards.<\/p>\n<p>Clinton has said she does not support the Trans-Pacific Partnership, which would create stricter enforcement mechanisms for labor and environmental standards in NAFTA countries.<\/p>\n<p>Trump has also not specified the reforms to NAFTA he would like to see. Asked in a July 26\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.detroitnews.com\/videos\/news\/politics\/elections\/2016\/07\/27\/87646714\/\" target=\"_blank\">Detroit News interview<\/a>\u00a0about renegotiation specifics, he assured he wants to change \u201cmany, many things.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Rachel Wellhausen,\u00a0an assistant professor of government at UT-Austin,\u00a0said a potential renegotiation of NAFTA may not be as impactful to the larger economic picture as our politics might suggest.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI would want the political rhetoric to be about job creation in the face of global competition and technology change,\u201d she said. \u201cIt\u2019s very unclear what renegotiating NAFTA would do, especially in an economy in which jobs are being lost to technology.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><em>Disclosure: The University of Texas at Austin has been a financial supporter of The Texas Tribune.\u00a0A complete list of Tribune donors and sponsors can be viewed\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.texastribune.org\/support-us\/donors-and-members\/\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Donald Trump might want out of NAFTA. Texas congressional Republicans aren&#8217;t going there.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":72372,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[140,3307,118,236,2260],"class_list":["post-175722","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-border-and-immigration","tag-donald-trump","tag-economy","tag-mexico","tag-texas"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/175722","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=175722"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/175722\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/72372"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=175722"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=175722"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nmpolitics.net\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=175722"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}