Heinrich’s new poll has him leading by three points

A new poll conducted for the campaign of 1st Congressional District Democratic candidate Martin Heinrich has him narrowly leading his Republican opponent, Darren White.

The poll, conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, had Heinrich leading White 47 percent to 44 percent. The survey of 518 likely voters was conducted June 29 to July 2 and has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points, so Heinrich’s lead was within the margin of error.

The question that was asked of those surveyed, according to the poll memo, was, “Thinking about the election for U.S. Congress in November, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today and the candidates were Democrat Martin Heinrich and Republican Darren White, for whom would you vote, Democrat Martin Heinrich or Republican Darren White?”

The last publicly released poll of the race came in October, when a poll conducted for the White campaign had White leading Heinrich in what was then a theoretical match-up by 18 points, 51 percent to 33 percent. That poll, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies, surveyed 400 likely voters, was conducted Oct. 8 and 9 and had a margin of error of 4.9 percent.

There has been no independent polling of the race between Heinrich and White.

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